Friday, June 29, 2007

When is a short term decline a signal not to enter long?

Lately it seems that short term stock traders would do well to have a psychology degree. Last Friday's scan revealed CTIC as a potential buy. Why, oh why was this a buy? Sure it was in the top percent of recent performers, but it was clearly on the way down. Yet, stocks on the way down eventually either disappear or start going up.

CTIC should not have been a buy since it had fallen significantly from it's recent high. For all of the top half year RSI stocks, I'm disregarding any stocks that are 5 percent or more below the month's high closing price. The results are friendlier and less prone to be in a massive sell off. When a stock's price falls drastically, short term long buyers are in a frenzy to sell the stock, and the short buyers are happy, so momentum is likely to continue down. The following stocks appear on the down but not out scan:
DFZ, BARRY R G CORP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
HTE, HARVEST ENERGY TR (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart


The following stocks all made a 4% or move up today and all of these stocks have a strong half year RSI:
AP, AMPCO PITTS CP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
ARGN, AMERIGON INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
BTJ, BOLT TECHNOLOGY (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
CRYO, CRYOCOR (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
DRYS, DRYSHIPS INC. (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
GMO, IDAHO GEN MINES I (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
LOCM, LOCAL.COM CORP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
MVIS, MICROVISION INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
NVEC, NVE CORP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
USAT.OB, USA TECHNOLOGIES (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart

The following stocks had 3 days of continuous strength:
ARSD.OB, ARABIAN AMER DEV (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
ASI, AMER SAFTY INS HL (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
BBGI, BEASLEY BRDCST GR (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
BBOX, BLACK BOX CP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
BCON, BEACON POWER CORP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
BYM, BLACKROCK INS MUN (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
CCOI, COGENT COMM GROUP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
CKNN, CASH SYSTEMS INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
CLCT, COLLECTORS UNIV (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
COCO, CORINTHIAN COLLEG (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
CPLA, CAPELLA EDUCATION (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
CVTX, CV THERAPEUTICS I (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
EGOV, NIC INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
EPD, ENTERPRISE PT UTS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
EPIC, EPICOR SOFTWARE (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
EXTR, EXTREME NETWORKS (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
FNBP, FNB CORP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
GEX, GLOBIX CP POST BK (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
GMO, IDAHO GEN MINES I (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
GNSS, GENESIS MICROCHIP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
HWK, HAWK CP CL A (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
IFN, INDIA FUND (THE) (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
IKN, IKON OFFICE SOLUT (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
INNO, INNOVO GROUP INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
KEA, KEANE INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
KOMG, KOMAG INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
LOCM, LOCAL.COM CORP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
MGRC, MCGRATH RENT CP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
MWIV, MWI VETERINARY SU (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
NM, NAVIOS MARITIME (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
NOIZ, MICRONETICS INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
OIIM, O2MICRO INTL LTD (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
PLT, PLANTRONICS INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
PPC, PILGRIMS PRIDE CP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
SA, SEABRIDGE GOLD IN (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
SMA, SYMMETRY MEDICAL (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
SOEN.OB, SOLAR ENERTECH CO (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
SPEC, SPECTRUM CONTROL (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
SRVY, GREENFIELD ONLINE (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
T, AT&T INC. (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
TLB, TALBOTS INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
TMTA, TRANSMETA CORP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
TNOX, TANOX INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
UIL, UIL HLDGS CP (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
USMO, USA MOBILITY (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
VAR, VARIAN MED SYS IN (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
VSCP, VIRTUALSCOPICS IN (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
WPL, WP STUART & CO LT (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart
WRNC, WARNACO GROUP INC (Google Yahoo Earnings Chart

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